The data suggests caution when backing the Orlando Magic in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Orlando Magic are just 106-115-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record106-115-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size221 games
ROI-8.4%
Units Won-18.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-4-00.0%-4.5%
201516-9-00.0%+22.2%
20168-12-00.0%-23.6%
201711-11-00.0%-4.5%
20189-12-00.0%-18.2%
20191-10-00.0%-82.6%
20208-12-00.0%-23.6%
202113-15-00.0%-11.4%
20229-10-00.0%-9.6%
202310-9-00.0%+0.5%
202417-11-00.0%+15.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Magic's struggles following victories stem from a franchise-wide pattern of inconsistency that has plagued Orlando throughout multiple rebuilds. Young teams often lack the mental fortitude to maintain focus after positive results, and Orlando's roster turnover has prevented the development of veteran leadership needed to sustain momentum. The psychological letdown effect is amplified when expectations rise after wins, particularly against quality opponents where the Magic may have overperformed relative to their talent level. Orlando's coaching changes and system adjustments over this period have created additional volatility in their post-win performance. The franchise has cycled through different philosophies, from defensive-minded approaches to pace-and-space offenses, making it difficult for players to develop consistent habits and responses to success. This instability manifests most clearly in games where the Magic enter with confidence but lack the structural foundation to capitalize on positive momentum. The variance in their seasonal performance reveals how roster composition affects this trend, with more experienced lineups showing better post-win discipline. Bettors should target Orlando as road underdogs following home victories, where the combination of travel fatigue and overconfidence creates the most pronounced letdown scenarios. This pattern holds strongest when facing teams with superior talent levels who can exploit Orlando's tendency to play down to expectations after feeling good about themselves.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Orlando Magic's ATS record as after a win?

The Orlando Magic has gone 106-115-0 against the spread (ATS) in games following a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.0% ATS win rate over 221 total games.

Is betting on the Orlando Magic as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Orlando Magic after a win has not been profitable, showing a -8.4% return on investment (ROI). This negative ROI indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Magic in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Magic's 48.0% ATS win rate after wins is below the typical 50% break-even point expected in sports betting. This underperformance suggests the betting market may overvalue the Magic following victories.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.