Oklahoma City Thunder One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 23-28-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2020 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's struggles on one day of rest stem from their historically young roster construction and reliance on athletic, high-energy play styles that don't recover quickly. Oklahoma City has consistently built teams around explosive guards and forwards who depend on fresh legs for their effectiveness, making the compressed recovery window particularly challenging for their core contributors. The franchise's developmental approach compounds this issue, as younger players typically need more recovery time between games and struggle with the mental adjustments required for back-to-back scheduling. When Russell Westbrook anchored the team, his hyperkinetic style became noticeably less efficient on short rest, while the current iteration featuring Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and a young supporting cast shows similar patterns of diminished execution. Oklahoma City's coaching staff has historically emphasized pace and transition opportunities, strategies that become harder to execute when players are operating below peak physical condition. The team's defensive intensity, a hallmark of their identity, also suffers when legs aren't fully recovered, leading to breakdowns that inflate opponent scoring. This trend carries the most weight when the Thunder face teams coming off multiple days of rest or when playing on the road, where the additional travel fatigue amplifies the one-day rest disadvantage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as one day rest?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 23-28-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.1% ATS win rate over 51 games.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder on one day rest has not been profitable. The team has generated a -13.9% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the typical league average of around 50% ATS. The Thunder's 45.1% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently underperform expectations when playing on one day of rest.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.