Oklahoma City Thunder Zero Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as zero days rest, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 26-30-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2020 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2021 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's struggles on zero days rest reflect a franchise philosophy that has consistently prioritized player development and long-term health over short-term competitive advantages. Oklahoma City's coaching staff, particularly under Mark Daigneault, emphasizes deliberate preparation and systematic execution rather than relying on pure athleticism or momentum. This methodical approach becomes a liability when compressed schedules eliminate their typical preparation time. The team's recent roster construction amplifies this issue. With one of the youngest cores in the league, the Thunder lack the veteran leadership and experience necessary to maintain focus and energy during back-to-back scenarios. Young players typically require more recovery time and struggle with the mental adjustments needed when game plans must be simplified due to limited practice time. Additionally, Oklahoma City's defensive schemes are complex and communication-heavy, making them particularly vulnerable when players are fatigued or haven't had adequate time to review opponent tendencies. Smart bettors should target fading the Thunder specifically when they're road favorites on zero rest, as the combination of travel fatigue and their systematic disadvantages creates optimal value opportunities. This trend carries the most weight during playoff races when every possession matters and the Thunder's preparation-dependent style becomes most exposed.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as zero days rest?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 26-30-0 ATS record when playing on zero days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.4% ATS win rate over 56 games.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as zero days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder on zero days rest has not been profitable. The team has generated a -11.4% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Thunder's 46.4% ATS win rate on zero days rest is below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -11.4% ROI indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in back-to-back situations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.