The Oklahoma City Thunder show mixed results as home - second of back-to-back. Since 2014, they're 13-13-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record13-13-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size26 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-1.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20154-1-00.0%+52.7%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20181-1-00.0%-4.5%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20221-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20240-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Thunder's struggles as home favorites in the second game of back-to-backs stem from their youth-heavy roster construction and energy-dependent playing style. Oklahoma City relies heavily on athleticism and pace to generate offense, but these advantages diminish significantly when legs are tired from the previous night's game. Their young core, while talented, lacks the veteran savvy to efficiently manage energy over consecutive games, leading to rushed possessions and defensive lapses in crucial moments. The psychological factor of playing at home actually works against them in this spot. Teams often assume the comfort of their home environment will compensate for physical fatigue, leading to overconfidence in pre-game preparation and early-game execution. The Thunder's fast-break offense, which thrives on transition opportunities, becomes less effective when players can't sustain their usual intensity level throughout four quarters. Smart bettors should target the Thunder's opponents in this specific situation, particularly when facing teams with veteran leadership and half-court offensive systems that don't rely on pace. The value lies in backing experienced squads that can exploit Oklahoma City's energy deficit through methodical execution. This trend carries the most weight when the Thunder face playoff-caliber opponents with strong road records, as these teams possess the discipline to capitalize on fatigue-induced mistakes.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as home - second of back-to-back?

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 13-13-0 ATS record when playing at home on the second night of back-to-back games from 2014-2024. This represents exactly a 50% ATS win rate over 26 games.

Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as home - second of back-to-back profitable?

No, betting on the Thunder in this situation is not profitable with a -4.5% ROI. Despite the even ATS record, the negative return indicates losses due to juice/vig on losing bets.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 50% ATS rate is slightly below the typical league average of around 52-53% for home teams. The Thunder performs essentially at break-even levels in this specific scheduling situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.