Oklahoma City Thunder Second Game of Back-to-Back Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as second game of back-to-back, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 26-30-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -11.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +11.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2016 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2020 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2021 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's struggles on the second night of back-to-backs stem from their reliance on high-energy, athleticism-driven basketball that becomes difficult to sustain on tired legs. Oklahoma City has consistently built their identity around pace, transition offense, and aggressive defensive rotations – all elements that require peak physical conditioning. When fatigue sets in during the second game, their offensive efficiency drops as players can't attack the rim with the same explosiveness, and their defensive intensity wanes. Youth has been both a blessing and curse for recent Thunder iterations. While younger players typically recover faster than veterans, they often lack the experience to pace themselves properly during the first game of a back-to-back. The Thunder's coaching staff has historically emphasized maximum effort regardless of schedule, which can backfire when players empty the tank too early. Travel patterns compound these issues, as Oklahoma City's central location often means lengthy road trips with awkward scheduling. The combination of travel fatigue and their demanding style creates a perfect storm for underperformance against the spread. This trend carries the most weight when the Thunder face a rested opponent on the road, particularly against teams known for strong home court advantages and methodical offensive systems that can exploit tired defenders.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 26-30-0 ATS record in the second game of back-to-back situations from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.4% ATS win rate over 56 games.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as second game of back-to-back profitable?
No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder in the second game of back-to-backs has not been profitable. The -11.4% ROI indicates bettors would lose approximately $11.40 for every $100 wagered over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% ATS baseline, with the Thunder covering just 46.4% of the time. The negative ROI suggests this trend performs worse than typical betting scenarios where you'd expect closer to break-even results.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.