Oklahoma City Thunder Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 15-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -39.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +39.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a fundamental psychological vulnerability that has plagued the franchise across different roster iterations. When Oklahoma City loses at home or on the road, the pressure to bounce back immediately often leads to overthinking and pressing, particularly problematic for a team that has historically relied on individual talent over systematic execution. The franchise's developmental approach compounds this issue. Whether building around Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook or the current young core led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder have consistently featured players learning to handle the mental burden of being favored away from home. Young stars tend to force shots and abandon ball movement when facing the dual pressure of road hostility and expectations to cover spreads after disappointing performances. Oklahoma City's coaching philosophy under different regimes has emphasized resilience, but this creates an interesting contradiction. The team often plays looser and more effectively as underdogs, where the pressure is reduced and natural talent can flow more freely. As road favorites after losses, they carry the weight of proving themselves while operating outside their comfort zone. This trend becomes most critical when the Thunder face teams with strong home court advantages or defensively-minded opponents who can exploit their tendency to overthink offensive possessions.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 15-32-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 31.9% ATS win rate over 47 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. This trend shows a -39.1% ROI, meaning bettors would lose approximately 39 cents for every dollar wagered over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than typical league averages for away favorites after losses, which generally range between 45-50% ATS. The Thunder's 31.9% ATS rate in this situation is well below expected performance levels.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.