Oklahoma City Thunder After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 108-117-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-12-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
| 2015 | 13-12-0 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2016 | 11-10-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2017 | 15-11-0 | 0.0% | +10.1% |
| 2018 | 6-13-0 | 0.0% | -39.7% |
| 2019 | 9-7-0 | 0.0% | +7.4% |
| 2020 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 10-11-0 | 0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2022 | 9-11-0 | 0.0% | -14.1% |
| 2023 | 10-11-0 | 0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2024 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's struggles after victories stem from a combination of organizational culture shifts and roster volatility that has plagued the franchise since their championship window closed. Oklahoma City has operated as a developmental franchise for much of this period, cycling through young players who lack the mental fortitude to maintain consistent effort levels after positive results. This inexperience manifests as complacency, where players naturally ease up following wins rather than building momentum. The team's coaching philosophy has also contributed to these letdowns. Oklahoma City's emphasis on player development often means rotations and game plans shift dramatically from night to night, creating inconsistency in execution regardless of previous results. When you combine young legs with experimental lineups, the natural psychological letdown after wins becomes amplified by tactical uncertainty. The Thunder's home-heavy schedule clustering also plays a role, as many of their post-win games come during extended homestands where crowd energy can fluctuate dramatically based on opponent quality. This creates a perfect storm where internal complacency meets external apathy. Bettors should target Thunder opponents in bounce-back spots, particularly when Oklahoma City is favored after impressive victories against quality opponents. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season's middle months when developmental priorities overshadow competitive urgency.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as after a win?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has gone 108-117-0 against the spread (ATS) in games after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.0% ATS win rate over 225 total games.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder after a win has not been profitable, showing a -8.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Thunder in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Thunder's 48.0% ATS win rate after wins is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. The -8.4% ROI confirms this is a poor betting situation compared to typical NBA trends.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.