Oklahoma City Thunder After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Oklahoma City Thunder are just 101-104-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2015 | 13-10-0 | 0.0% | +7.9% |
| 2016 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2017 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2018 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2020 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2021 | 8-7-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2022 | 9-13-0 | 0.0% | -21.9% |
| 2023 | 8-8-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 7-12-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Thunder's struggles after losses stem from their youth-heavy roster construction and emotional volatility that comes with inexperience. Young teams like Oklahoma City often lack the mental fortitude to immediately bounce back from disappointing defeats, particularly when those losses expose weaknesses in their game plan or execution. The Thunder's reliance on explosive offensive performances means they can become overly focused on forcing shots and playing at an unsustainable pace following setbacks, leading to poor shot selection and defensive lapses. Oklahoma City's coaching staff has historically emphasized learning from mistakes, but this analytical approach can sometimes create overthinking in the immediate aftermath of losses. Players tend to press too hard to correct previous errors rather than trusting their natural abilities and system. The team's tendency to play up or down to competition levels also works against them after losses, as they may underestimate opponents while still processing the previous defeat. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing the Thunder as favorites in their first game after a loss, especially against teams with veteran leadership who can exploit Oklahoma City's emotional state. This trend carries the most weight in back-to-back situations or when facing divisional opponents who understand how to capitalize on the Thunder's post-loss vulnerability.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Oklahoma City Thunder's ATS record as after a loss?
The Oklahoma City Thunder has a 101-104-0 ATS record when playing after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.3% ATS win rate over 205 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder after a loss has not been profitable. The team shows a -5.9% ROI in this situation, meaning bettors would lose money over time.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Thunder's 49.3% ATS win rate after losses is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point. This underperformance against the spread in bounce-back spots suggests the betting market may overvalue their response to losses.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.