The data suggests caution when backing the New York Knicks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the New York Knicks are just 81-127-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record81-127-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size208 games
ROI-25.7%
Units Won-53.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-10-00.0%-21.4%
20157-8-00.0%-10.9%
20166-13-00.0%-39.7%
20177-13-00.0%-33.2%
201813-7-00.0%+24.1%
20198-13-00.0%-27.3%
20208-12-00.0%-23.6%
20214-11-00.0%-49.1%
20229-14-00.0%-25.3%
20235-12-00.0%-43.9%
20247-14-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Knicks' struggles as favorites stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the killer instinct necessary to close out games when expectations are highest. New York's tendency to play down to competition reflects deeper organizational issues that have persisted across multiple coaching regimes and roster iterations. When installed as favorites, the Knicks often face opponents with nothing to lose, creating dangerous spots where underdogs play freely while New York feels the weight of expectation. The team's inconsistent offensive execution becomes magnified in favorite roles, particularly their struggles with late-game decision-making and clutch shooting. Madison Square Garden's intense atmosphere can work against the home team when fans expect dominant performances, creating additional pressure that manifests in rushed possessions and defensive lapses. The Knicks have also shown a pattern of poor emotional regulation when leads shrink, often abandoning successful game plans in favor of isolation basketball. Smart bettors should be particularly cautious backing New York as road favorites or in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games. The trend carries most significance when the Knicks are favored by 4-7 points against teams with recent momentum, as these represent the exact scenarios where New York's mental fragility and opponent desperation create perfect storm conditions for ATS failures.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Knicks's ATS record as as favorite?

The New York Knicks have an 81-127-0 ATS record when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 38.9% of games. This represents a significantly poor performance against the betting line when expected to win.

Is betting on the New York Knicks as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the New York Knicks as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -25.7% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 26 cents for every dollar wagered on the Knicks when they were favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Knicks' 38.9% ATS win rate as favorites is well below the typical league average of around 50% for favorites. Their performance represents one of the worst ATS records for favored teams over this 10-year period.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.