The data suggests caution when backing the New York Knicks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the New York Knicks are just 38-59-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.2%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record38-59-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size97 games
ROI-25.2%
Units Won-24.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-2-00.0%+27.3%
20154-2-00.0%+27.3%
20163-6-00.0%-36.4%
20175-6-00.0%-13.2%
20185-5-00.0%-4.5%
20194-9-00.0%-41.3%
20203-4-00.0%-18.2%
20212-8-00.0%-61.8%
20225-6-00.0%-13.2%
20232-3-00.0%-23.6%
20241-8-00.0%-78.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Knicks' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their identity and the expectations that come with being favored away from home. New York has historically been built around gritty, defensive-minded basketball that thrives on Madison Square Garden's energy and the underdog mentality. When thrust into the role of road favorite, they lose that chip-on-the-shoulder edge that has defined their most successful stretches. The psychological burden of being expected to win on hostile territory appears to weigh heavily on a franchise that has spent decades as the hunter rather than the hunted. Road favorites must impose their will early and maintain composure when opponents make inevitable runs, but the Knicks have shown a pattern of playing tight in these spots. Their offensive execution, already inconsistent, becomes more mechanical when they feel pressure to validate the betting market's confidence. The recent decline under Tom Thibodeau is particularly telling, as his defensive systems require maximum effort and communication that can break down when players are mentally pressing to meet elevated expectations. Bettors should target fading the Knicks as road favorites specifically in divisional matchups and against teams with strong home-court advantages, where the psychological pressure intensifies most dramatically.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New York Knicks's ATS record as away favorite?

The New York Knicks have a 38-59-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 38 of 97 games. This translates to a 39.2% ATS win rate in this situation.

Is betting on the New York Knicks as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the New York Knicks as away favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -25.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This poor performance indicates consistent failure to cover spreads when favored on the road.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 39.2% ATS win rate is significantly below the expected 50% baseline and likely well below league average for away favorites. The -25.2% ROI represents substantial underperformance compared to typical betting outcomes.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.