New Orleans Pelicans Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 138-145-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-15-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 17-13-0 | 0.0% | +8.2% |
| 2016 | 12-10-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2017 | 12-14-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2018 | 9-15-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2019 | 18-13-0 | 0.0% | +10.8% |
| 2020 | 16-8-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 10-18-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2022 | 13-10-0 | 0.0% | +7.9% |
| 2023 | 9-15-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2024 | 12-14-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' struggles with extended rest reveal a franchise that has historically lacked the veteran leadership and established systems necessary to maintain competitive intensity during layoffs. Unlike championship-caliber teams that use extra days to refine schemes and recover, New Orleans has often fielded young, developing rosters that rely more on rhythm and momentum than strategic preparation. This organizational characteristic becomes particularly pronounced when you consider the franchise's frequent roster turnover and coaching changes throughout the sample period. Extended rest periods tend to benefit teams with established offensive systems and veteran point guards who can orchestrate complex sets. The Pelicans have rarely possessed these stabilizing elements consistently, instead relying on athletic wings and big men who thrive in up-tempo, instinctive basketball. When forced into more methodical, half-court scenarios that often follow extended preparation time, their natural advantages diminish while opponents can better game-plan for their athletic-based attack. The psychological aspect cannot be ignored either. Teams fighting for playoff positioning or lottery protection often struggle with motivation during extended breaks, and New Orleans has frequently found itself in these transitional seasons where buy-in becomes questionable. This trend carries the most weight when the Pelicans face disciplined, well-coached opponents who excel at exploiting preparation advantages, particularly early in seasons when new systems are still being implemented.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The New Orleans Pelicans have an ATS record of 138-145-0 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.8% ATS win rate over 283 games.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -6.9% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Pelicans in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pelicans' 48.8% ATS win rate with extended rest is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for ATS betting. While not dramatically poor, it represents underperformance that has resulted in consistent losses for bettors over the 10-year period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.