New Orleans Pelicans One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 25-27-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2017 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2020 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' struggles on one day's rest reflect a franchise that has consistently battled depth and conditioning issues throughout different roster iterations. New Orleans has historically relied heavily on star players like Anthony Davis and now Zion Williamson, creating a top-heavy structure that becomes problematic when rotation players must step up on short rest. The team's medical staff has faced scrutiny over the years for injury management, suggesting potential gaps in recovery protocols that become magnified in back-to-back scenarios. The franchise's inconsistent coaching philosophies have also contributed to this trend. Different systems under various coaches have failed to establish the kind of disciplined, rotation-heavy approach that typically succeeds on short rest. When key players are limited or resting, the Pelicans often lack the organizational depth and systematic execution needed to cover spreads against well-prepared opponents. The psychological factor cannot be ignored either. New Orleans has operated as a small-market team fighting for respect, often pressing too hard in nationally televised or high-profile games that frequently occur on short rest. This urgency can lead to poor shot selection and defensive breakdowns. This trend matters most when the Pelicans face teams with superior depth or when playing the second game of road back-to-backs, where travel fatigue compounds the rest disadvantage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as one day rest?
The New Orleans Pelicans have a 25-27-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.1% ATS win rate over 52 games.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans with one day of rest is not profitable, showing a -8.2% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Pelicans in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pelicans' 48.1% ATS win rate on one day of rest is slightly below the league average of approximately 50%. Their -8.2% ROI also underperforms compared to typical break-even expectations in sports betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.