New Orleans Pelicans Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 16-19-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' struggles against division rivals at home stem from the unique intensity and familiarity that Southwest Division matchups bring. Teams like Dallas, Houston, Memphis, and San Antonio know New Orleans' tendencies intimately, having faced them multiple times per season over the years. This familiarity neutralizes any home court advantage the Smoothie King Center typically provides, as visiting teams arrive with detailed game plans tailored specifically to exploit the Pelicans' weaknesses. New Orleans has historically been a team built around individual talent rather than cohesive system basketball, making them particularly vulnerable when opponents have extensive film study and preparation time. Division rivals understand how to disrupt the Pelicans' offensive flow and force them into uncomfortable situations, while the emotional weight of these crucial divisional games often leads to pressing and poor shot selection from New Orleans players. The psychological factor cannot be understated either. Playing at home against division opponents carries playoff implications and seeding consequences that create additional pressure, something the Pelicans have consistently struggled to handle effectively throughout their recent history. This trend becomes most critical during the final two months of the regular season when divisional records heavily influence playoff positioning and tiebreakers.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The New Orleans Pelicans have a 16-19-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.7% ATS win rate over 35 games.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as home favorites against division rivals has not been profitable. The -12.7% ROI indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Pelicans in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the expected 50% ATS baseline, with the Pelicans covering 4.3 percentage points less than average. The negative ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover inflated home favorite spreads against division opponents.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.