New Orleans Pelicans Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the New Orleans Pelicans hold a record of 12-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' strong performance as home favorites on zero rest stems from their historically deep roster construction and the Smoothie King Center's unique advantages. New Orleans has consistently built teams around versatile big men who can handle increased minutes when needed, while their guards have shown remarkable conditioning levels that allow them to maintain efficiency on back-to-back situations. The home crowd energy in New Orleans creates a significant boost during these challenging scheduling spots, as fans recognize the extra effort required and respond accordingly. The franchise's coaching philosophy has emphasized pace control and selective rest during games, allowing key players to manage their energy throughout contests rather than relying solely on between-game recovery. This approach proves particularly effective when facing teams that may be overlooking a tired Pelicans squad, creating natural value in the betting market. New Orleans players have also demonstrated strong familiarity with their home court's shooting backgrounds and rim tendencies, which becomes more valuable when legs are heavy and shot selection matters most. Bettors should target this spot when the Pelicans face teams coming off emotional wins or when playing opponents with their own rest disadvantages. This trend carries maximum weight during the middle portion of the season when conditioning separates prepared teams from pretenders.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The New Orleans Pelicans have a 12-7-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 63.2% ATS win rate over 19 games.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
Yes, betting on the Pelicans as home favorites on zero rest has been profitable with a 20.6% ROI. Despite covering the spread 63% of the time, this trend shows strong long-term value for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly above league average, as most teams struggle ATS on zero rest due to fatigue. The Pelicans' 63.2% ATS rate and positive ROI indicate they handle back-to-back situations better than typical NBA teams.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.