New Orleans Pelicans Home Games Betting Trend

The Pelicans' poor home ATS performance stems from a combination of inflated expectations and inconsistent roster construction that has plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. New Orleans has consistently been overvalued by oddsmakers at home, particularly during seasons when star players like Anthony Davis or Zion Williamson generated public betting interest despite underlying team weaknesses. The franchise's inability to build consistent depth around their marquee talents has created a pattern where home games become coin flips rather than the expected advantages that betting lines suggest. The team's struggles are amplified by the Smoothie King Center's lack of intimidating home court advantage compared to other NBA venues. New Orleans often fails to generate the energy needed to cover spreads against motivated road teams, especially when dealing with the injury concerns that have consistently derailed their seasons. The organization's frequent coaching changes and roster turnover have prevented the development of sustainable home court chemistry that translates to consistent ATS success. For bettors, the key insight is to fade New Orleans at home when they're favored by more than six points, particularly early in seasons when public optimism inflates their lines. This trend matters most during nationally televised home games when casual money drives up the spread beyond the team's actual capabilities.