The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 90-135-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record90-135-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size225 games
ROI-23.6%
Units Won-53.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-14-00.0%-49.8%
20158-18-00.0%-41.3%
20169-8-00.0%+1.1%
201710-18-00.0%-31.8%
20184-8-00.0%-36.4%
201915-19-00.0%-15.8%
202015-7-00.0%+30.2%
20216-12-00.0%-36.4%
20225-8-00.0%-26.6%
20234-9-00.0%-41.3%
20249-14-00.0%-25.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pelicans' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks stem from a franchise culture that has historically lacked the mental fortitude to bounce back from adversity with authority. When New Orleans finally gets favored after dropping three or more consecutive games, they're typically facing inferior competition that oddsmakers expect them to handle comfortably. However, the psychological weight of recent failures creates a team that plays tight and overthinks possessions rather than playing with the natural flow that made them favorites in the first place. This pattern reflects deeper organizational issues around leadership and veteran presence. The Pelicans have rarely maintained consistent veteran leadership capable of steadying younger players during rough patches. When they do get a favorable matchup after struggling, they often approach it as a "must-win" situation rather than simply executing their game plan, leading to forced shots and defensive lapses that keep games closer than the spread suggests. The coaching staff's tendency to overcompensate with lineup changes and strategic adjustments during losing streaks also disrupts team chemistry right when they need stability most. Players are still adjusting to new roles when they should be playing instinctively. This trend carries the most weight when the Pelicans are road favorites after losing streaks, where the added pressure of performing in hostile environments amplifies their mental fragility.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The New Orleans Pelicans have a 90-135-0 ATS record as favorites after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 40.0% ATS win rate over 225 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as favorites after a 3+ game losing streak is not profitable. The strategy shows a -23.6% ROI, meaning bettors would lose approximately $236 for every $1,000 wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below league average, as teams typically cover around 50% ATS in most situations. The Pelicans' 40.0% ATS rate in this scenario represents a substantial underperformance that has persisted over a decade.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.