New Orleans Pelicans Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the New Orleans Pelicans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the New Orleans Pelicans are just 43-67-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2015 | 2-9-0 | 0.0% | -65.3% |
| 2016 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2017 | 6-8-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2018 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2020 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2021 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2022 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | 3-6-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pelicans' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and their actual road identity. New Orleans has historically been a team that relies heavily on energy from their home crowd and familiar surroundings, making them particularly vulnerable when the betting market overvalues their chances away from the Smoothie King Center. Their roster construction over this period has featured talented but inconsistent players who thrive in comfortable environments but struggle with the mental demands of being favored on hostile courts. The Pelicans have repeatedly shown they perform better as underdogs, where they can play loose and aggressive, rather than bearing the pressure of meeting elevated expectations on the road. The psychological burden of being favored away from home appears to weigh heavily on this franchise, which has often lacked the veteran leadership and road warrior mentality needed to consistently close out games they're expected to win. Their offensive schemes, particularly during the Anthony Davis era and beyond, have shown less effectiveness in road environments where crowd noise and unfamiliar rims can disrupt rhythm. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing New Orleans as road favorites against teams with strong home court advantages or when the spread is relatively small, indicating market uncertainty about the Pelicans' true road capabilities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the New Orleans Pelicans's ATS record as away favorite?
The New Orleans Pelicans have an ATS record of 43-67-0 (39.1%) as away favorites from 2014-2024. This means they have failed to cover the spread in 67 of their 110 games as road favorites.
Is betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the New Orleans Pelicans as away favorites is not profitable, with a -25.4% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This represents significant losses for bettors who consistently backed the Pelicans in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pelicans' 39.1% ATS win rate as away favorites is well below the typical 50% expectation and likely worse than league average. Their -25.4% ROI indicates they have been one of the least reliable away favorites to bet on during this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.