Minnesota Timberwolves Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Minnesota Timberwolves show mixed results as small underdog (+1 to +3). Since 2014, they're 17-15-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.4%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Timberwolves' solid performance as small underdogs stems from their ability to rise to the occasion when expectations are modest but not insurmountable. Minnesota has historically been a franchise that performs better when the pressure is off, and small underdog spots create the perfect psychological environment. When laying points or heavily favored, the Wolves often struggle with consistency and focus, but catching 1-3 points allows them to play loose while still maintaining competitive intensity. Minnesota's roster construction over this period has typically featured talented but inconsistent players who thrive in chip-on-shoulder scenarios. The small underdog role validates their competitive spirit without the crushing weight of heavy expectations. Their home crowd at Target Center becomes more engaged when the team is fighting uphill, creating an energy boost that translates to better execution in close games. The slight positive ROI suggests this trend offers legitimate value, particularly because public perception often undervalues Minnesota's talent level. Bettors should target this spot when the Timberwolves face quality opponents at home or when coming off disappointing performances that may have artificially deflated their line. This trend matters most during the middle portion of the season when rotations are settled but playoff positioning remains fluid, creating maximum motivation without overwhelming pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Timberwolves's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 17-15-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.1% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the Minnesota Timberwolves as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Timberwolves as small underdogs has been profitable with a 1.4% ROI. Their 53.1% ATS win rate in this spot has generated positive returns for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Timberwolves' 53.1% ATS win rate as small underdogs is above the typical 50% break-even threshold. This performance is solid compared to league averages, though the 1.4% ROI indicates modest profitability.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.