The public often underestimates the Minnesota Timberwolves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Minnesota Timberwolves hold a record of 127-95-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $20 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record127-95-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size222 games
ROI+9.2%
Units Won+20.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201413-7-00.0%+24.1%
20157-14-00.0%-36.4%
201611-7-00.0%+16.7%
201714-10-00.0%+11.4%
20189-10-00.0%-9.6%
201913-5-00.0%+37.9%
20209-9-00.0%-4.5%
202110-11-00.0%-9.1%
202215-7-00.0%+30.2%
202312-6-00.0%+27.3%
202414-9-00.0%+16.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Timberwolves' success as primetime underdogs stems from their unique psychological makeup and the inherent mismatch between public perception and actual performance. Minnesota has historically been viewed as a small-market afterthought, creating inflated spreads when they face marquee opponents on national television. This perception gap becomes most pronounced in primetime slots, where casual bettors gravitate toward recognizable names and larger markets, pushing lines beyond their true value. Minnesota's roster construction has consistently favored gritty, defensive-minded players who thrive when overlooked. The franchise's culture under various coaching regimes has emphasized playing with a chip on their shoulder, and primetime games amplify this underdog mentality. When the lights are brightest and expectations lowest, the Timberwolves have shown remarkable resilience, particularly at home where their passionate fanbase creates an electric atmosphere that television audiences often underestimate. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Minnesota faces teams coming off emotional wins or playing on short rest. The Timberwolves' younger rosters have typically maintained consistent energy levels, while their opponents often struggle with the letdown factor in primetime spots. This trend holds strongest when Minnesota plays at home as moderate underdogs against playoff-bound teams in nationally televised games.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Minnesota Timberwolves's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 127-95-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.2% ATS win rate over 222 games.

Is betting on the Minnesota Timberwolves as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Timberwolves as primetime underdogs has been profitable with a 9.2% ROI. Despite covering the spread at a strong 57.2% rate, they have not won any games outright in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 57.2% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for underdogs. The 9.2% ROI indicates strong value compared to the standard -110 betting juice.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.