Minnesota Timberwolves Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Minnesota Timberwolves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Minnesota Timberwolves are just 53-67-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -15.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +15.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2015 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 6-5-0 | 0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2017 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2018 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 9-6-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2022 | 1-10-0 | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 2023 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2024 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Timberwolves' struggles as away favorites stem from a franchise historically unaccustomed to carrying expectations on the road. Minnesota has spent most of the past decade rebuilding, meaning when they do travel as favorites, it often represents unfamiliar territory for a young core that hasn't developed the mental fortitude to handle being the hunted rather than the hunter. Their defensive identity, built around rim protection and length, translates poorly to road environments where crowd noise disrupts communication and coordination. The Wolves rely heavily on their home crowd's energy to fuel defensive intensity, making them vulnerable when facing motivated underdogs in hostile environments. Additionally, their offense has historically been inconsistent, with role players particularly struggling to maintain shooting efficiency away from Target Center's familiar sight lines. The dramatic swing between their 2021 success and 2022 collapse as road favorites illustrates how fragile their confidence becomes when expectations shift. Young teams like Minnesota often play with more freedom as underdogs but tighten up when favored, especially on the road where everything feels more difficult. This trend matters most early in the season when the Wolves are still finding their identity, and against teams with strong home court advantages where the underdog role energizes the opposition.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Minnesota Timberwolves's ATS record as away favorite?
The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 53-67-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024. This translates to a 44.2% ATS win rate over 120 games.
Is betting on the Minnesota Timberwolves as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Minnesota Timberwolves as away favorites is not profitable. The team shows a -15.7% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the typical league average of around 50% ATS for away favorites. The Timberwolves' 44.2% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate poor value in this betting scenario.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.