The public often underestimates the Minnesota Timberwolves in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Minnesota Timberwolves hold a record of 26-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +7.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $4 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record26-20-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size46 games
ROI+7.9%
Units Won+3.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-2-00.0%+48.5%
20151-3-00.0%-52.3%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20196-1-00.0%+63.6%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20210-2-00.0%-100.0%
20223-2-00.0%+14.6%
20232-3-00.0%-23.6%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Timberwolves' success as road underdogs following victories stems from a unique psychological dynamic that plays to their strengths as a young, defensively-oriented team. Minnesota has historically thrived when expectations are lowered, and the underdog role after a win creates the perfect storm of confidence without complacency. Their defensive identity, anchored by elite rim protection and switchable perimeters, travels well and becomes even more disruptive when opponents underestimate their capabilities coming off a victory. The franchise's culture under recent regimes has emphasized grit and proving doubters wrong, making them particularly dangerous in spots where oddsmakers and the public might discount their chances. When Minnesota enters hostile environments with house money mentality after a win, they often lock in defensively and find ways to keep games close enough for backdoor covers or outright upsets. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Wolves are getting inflated spreads due to their opponent's perceived superiority rather than actual matchup dynamics. Minnesota's defensive versatility allows them to punch above their weight against elite teams, especially when those teams might be looking ahead or taking them lightly. This trend matters most when Minnesota faces playoff-caliber teams on the road after defeating quality opposition, creating maximum value in the betting market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Minnesota Timberwolves's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 26-20-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 56.5% ATS win rate over 46 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Minnesota Timberwolves as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Timberwolves as away underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 7.9% ROI. Their 56.5% ATS success rate in this spot has generated consistent value for bettors over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is above the typical 50% ATS baseline, though a league-wide comparison for this specific situation would require analyzing all teams' records as away underdogs after wins. The 7.9% ROI suggests the Timberwolves outperform market expectations in this scenario.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.