Milwaukee Bucks As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Milwaukee Bucks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Milwaukee Bucks hold a record of 129-88-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +13.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $29 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-9-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2015 | 14-6-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2016 | 14-7-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 9-9-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 13-7-1 | 0.0% | +24.1% |
| 2019 | 13-9-0 | 0.0% | +12.8% |
| 2020 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2021 | 7-8-0 | 0.0% | -10.9% |
| 2022 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2023 | 15-6-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2024 | 15-10-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bucks' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their championship-caliber talent being consistently undervalued by oddsmakers when facing elite competition or playing in challenging situations. Milwaukee's core built around Giannis Antetokounmpo thrives when dismissed, as the team's defensive versatility and transition offense create explosive scoring runs that quickly erase deficits. Their ability to switch defensively and generate fast-break opportunities off turnovers becomes particularly potent when opponents expect them to struggle. The franchise's championship experience has instilled a mental toughness that manifests most clearly in underdog spots. When the pressure shifts to favored opponents, Milwaukee plays with the freedom that comes from reduced expectations. Their depth allows them to absorb early adversity while maintaining defensive intensity, often wearing down opponents who expected easier victories. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Milwaukee's underdog value peaks against Western Conference contenders and in road playoff-atmosphere games where their championship pedigree gets overlooked. The team's recent inconsistency actually enhances their underdog appeal, as books adjust lines based on short-term struggles rather than underlying talent. This trend matters most during nationally televised games against top-tier opponents when public perception drives inflated spreads against the Bucks.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as as underdog?
The Milwaukee Bucks have an ATS record of 129-88-1 when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 59.4% ATS win rate over that 10-year period.
Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as underdogs has been profitable with a 13.5% ROI. This positive return indicates consistent value when backing Milwaukee in underdog situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bucks' 59.4% ATS rate as underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 13.5% ROI also exceeds what most teams generate in underdog spots.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.