Milwaukee Bucks Second Game of Back-to-Back Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Milwaukee Bucks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as second game of back-to-back, the Milwaukee Bucks are just 28-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2016 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2017 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 5-4-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Bucks' mediocre performance in back-to-back scenarios stems from their reliance on high-intensity, physically demanding basketball that doesn't translate well to consecutive nights. Milwaukee's system emphasizes aggressive defensive rotations and Giannis Antetokounmpo's explosive drives to the rim, both of which require maximum energy output. When fatigue sets in during the second game, their defensive communication breaks down and Antetokounmpo's efficiency at the basket typically drops as his legs tire. Milwaukee's depth concerns amplify these issues. The team has historically leaned heavily on their star players, meaning key contributors log heavy minutes in the first game of back-to-backs. This creates a cascading effect where role players who should step up in the second game are also dealing with accumulated fatigue. The Bucks' three-point shooting, already inconsistent, becomes particularly unreliable when legs are tired, leading to offensive struggles that make covering spreads difficult. Smart bettors should focus on Milwaukee's road/home split in these situations, as traveling between games compounds the fatigue factor. This trend carries the most weight when the Bucks face athletic, up-tempo opponents in the second game, as these matchups expose their diminished energy levels most dramatically.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?
The Milwaukee Bucks have a 28-29-0 ATS record in the second game of back-to-backs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.1% ATS win rate over 57 games.
Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as second game of back-to-back profitable?
No, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks in the second game of back-to-backs is not profitable. The strategy shows a -6.2% ROI with a 49.1% ATS win rate over the 2014-2024 period.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Bucks' 49.1% ATS win rate in back-to-back situations is slightly below the typical 50% expectation for ATS betting. Their -6.2% ROI indicates underperformance compared to break-even expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.