The public often underestimates the Milwaukee Bucks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog on zero rest, the Milwaukee Bucks hold a record of 11-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +16.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record11-7-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size18 games
ROI+16.7%
Units Won+3.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-2-00.0%-36.4%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bucks' success as away underdogs on zero rest stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their roster construction around versatile, high-IQ players. Milwaukee's core group, particularly during their championship window, thrived in adversity situations where expectations were lowered. When playing back-to-back games on the road as underdogs, the Bucks often faced teams that assumed they'd have a significant advantage against a tired Milwaukee squad. This scheduling disadvantage actually worked in Milwaukee's favor psychologically. The team's veteran leadership and coaching staff historically used these scenarios as motivation, while opponents occasionally fell into the trap of overlooking a supposedly depleted Bucks team. Milwaukee's depth and conditioning programs also allowed them to maintain competitive intensity even on tired legs, particularly when Giannis Antetokounmpo was surrounded by complementary pieces who could step up in these grinding situations. The key betting insight here is recognizing when the market overadjusts for Milwaukee's rest disadvantage while undervaluing their mental toughness in underdog spots. This trend carries the most weight when the Bucks are catching points of 4.5 or more on the road during back-to-back situations, especially against teams coming off impressive home wins who might be prone to letdown spots.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as away underdog on zero rest?

The Milwaukee Bucks have an 11-7-0 ATS record as away underdogs on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 61.1% ATS win rate across 18 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as away underdog on zero rest profitable?

Yes, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as away underdogs on zero rest has been profitable with a 16.7% ROI. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in this scenario.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 61.1% ATS rate significantly outperforms typical league averages, which hover around 50% for most situational trends. The Bucks have shown exceptional value as road underdogs playing on back-to-back nights.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.