The public often underestimates the Milwaukee Bucks in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog after a win, the Milwaukee Bucks hold a record of 31-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +16.0% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $8 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record31-20-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size51 games
ROI+16.0%
Units Won+8.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20153-3-00.0%-4.5%
20165-2-00.0%+36.4%
20172-4-00.0%-36.4%
20183-2-00.0%+14.6%
20194-2-00.0%+27.3%
20202-1-00.0%+27.3%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20236-2-00.0%+43.2%
20243-2-00.0%+14.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Bucks' success as road underdogs following victories stems from their championship-caliber mentality that refuses to accept disrespect from oddsmakers. When Milwaukee wins a game and then travels to face a team where they're not favored, it creates a perfect storm of motivation and value. Giannis Antetokounmpo has consistently elevated his play in these spots, viewing the underdog tag as bulletin board material that fuels his already intense competitive drive. Milwaukee's depth and veteran leadership become crucial factors in these scenarios. Players like Khris Middleton and Brook Lopez have championship experience that allows them to maintain focus on the road, while their supporting cast often rises to the occasion when facing adversity. The team's defensive versatility, anchored by Giannis's ability to guard multiple positions, travels exceptionally well and can disrupt opposing offenses regardless of venue. The psychological edge cannot be understated - coming off a win provides confidence while being an underdog eliminates pressure. This combination allows Milwaukee to play loose and aggressive, often catching opponents who may have overlooked them based on the betting line. This trend carries the most weight when the Bucks are facing Western Conference teams or in back-to-back situations where fatigue might be expected to impact their performance.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Milwaukee Bucks's ATS record as away underdog after a win?

The Milwaukee Bucks have a 31-20-0 ATS record as away underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 60.8% ATS win rate over 51 games.

Is betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as away underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Milwaukee Bucks as away underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 16.0% ROI. Their 60.8% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well above league average, as most teams struggle to maintain consistent ATS success in underdog situations. A 16.0% ROI over a 10-year sample represents strong long-term value.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.