The public often underestimates the Miami Heat in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Miami Heat hold a record of 117-94-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +5.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $12 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record117-94-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size211 games
ROI+5.9%
Units Won+12.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-15-00.0%-19.2%
201514-6-00.0%+33.6%
201610-8-00.0%+6.1%
201710-7-00.0%+12.3%
201810-7-00.0%+12.3%
201912-10-00.0%+4.1%
202012-13-00.0%-8.4%
20217-10-00.0%-21.4%
202211-4-00.0%+40.0%
202312-7-00.0%+20.6%
20248-7-00.0%+1.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Miami Heat's strong home ATS performance stems from their organizational culture of defensive intensity and situational awareness that amplifies in familiar surroundings. Pat Riley's defensive philosophy creates a team that thrives on making opponents uncomfortable, and the intimate atmosphere at FTX Arena allows Miami to dictate tempo more effectively than most franchises. The Heat have consistently built rosters around versatile defenders who can switch multiple positions, making their zone concepts and help rotations particularly disruptive when they have the crowd's energy behind them. Miami's coaching staff excels at in-game adjustments, and playing at home provides the communication advantages needed to implement these changes seamlessly. The organization's "Heat Culture" mentality translates into players who respond well to adversity and often exceed expectations, particularly when oddsmakers undervalue their collective grit and conditioning advantages. The key betting insight here is recognizing when Miami faces teams on the second night of back-to-backs or those struggling with defensive identity, as the Heat's home court amplifies these weaknesses significantly. This trend carries the most weight during playoff races and against Western Conference opponents who may underestimate the physical toll of playing in Miami's humid, intense environment.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Miami Heat's ATS record as home games?

The Miami Heat has a 117-94-0 ATS record in home games from 2014-2024, covering the spread 55.5% of the time. This translates to 117 wins against the spread and 94 losses with no pushes over this 10-year period.

Is betting on the Miami Heat as home games profitable?

Yes, betting on the Miami Heat in home games has been profitable with a 5.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the modest return, this positive ROI indicates consistent value when backing Miami at home against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Heat's 55.5% ATS win rate at home is above the typical league average of around 50%. Their 5.9% ROI also exceeds what most teams provide, making them one of the more reliable home betting options over this timeframe.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.