Memphis Grizzlies Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Memphis Grizzlies show mixed results as home vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 22-18-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +5.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2016 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
Memphis has historically thrived at home against division rivals due to the franchise's defensive identity and the intimate atmosphere at FedExForum. The Grizzlies have built their culture around "Grit and Grind" basketball, which translates particularly well in high-stakes divisional matchups where familiarity breeds intensity. Their home court advantage becomes amplified against Southwest Division opponents because these games carry playoff seeding implications and often feature multiple meetings per season. The psychological edge stems from Memphis's blue-collar fan base creating a hostile environment for visiting division rivals, while the team's defensive schemes become more effective with crowd energy behind them. Division games also allow the Grizzlies to exploit their superior conditioning and physicality over 48 minutes, as opponents struggle to match their pace in the charged atmosphere. The recent positive trend suggests this dynamic remains intact even as the roster has evolved beyond the original "Grit and Grind" era. Bettors should target Memphis home spreads against division opponents when the line appears inflated due to recent road struggles or when facing teams on back-to-back situations. This trend carries the most weight during the final month of the regular season when playoff positioning intensifies divisional rivalries and home court becomes crucial for postseason seeding battles.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Memphis Grizzlies have a 22-18-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 55% ATS win rate over 40 games.
Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as home vs division rival profitable?
Yes, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies at home vs division rivals has been profitable with a 5.0% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 22-18 ATS record indicates consistent value against the spread in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 55% ATS win rate is above the typical 50% break-even point for spread betting. The 5.0% ROI suggests this trend has outperformed average betting expectations over the 10-year period.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.