Memphis Grizzlies As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Memphis Grizzlies are just 98-152-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-19-0 | 0.0% | -38.6% |
| 2015 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2016 | 9-16-0 | 0.0% | -31.3% |
| 2017 | 13-5-0 | 0.0% | +37.9% |
| 2018 | 7-15-0 | 0.0% | -39.3% |
| 2019 | 5-13-0 | 0.0% | -47.0% |
| 2020 | 10-11-0 | 0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2021 | 10-15-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 5-18-0 | 0.0% | -58.5% |
| 2023 | 11-13-0 | 0.0% | -12.5% |
| 2024 | 8-14-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Grizzlies' struggles as favorites stem from their historically young roster construction and inconsistent identity as a franchise. Memphis has cycled through multiple rebuilding phases since 2014, often finding themselves favored in games where their talent level didn't match the betting market's expectations. Young teams typically struggle with the mental pressure of being expected to win, leading to flat performances against motivated underdogs. Memphis's "Grit and Grind" era established them as scrappy underdogs, but when thrust into the favorite role, they've consistently failed to adjust their approach. The team's defensive-minded culture works better when they can dictate pace and physicality, but favorites often face opponents playing with desperation and higher intensity. Additionally, the Grizzlies have frequently been overvalued by oddsmakers after impressive wins, creating inflated lines that don't reflect their true capabilities. The franchise's injury history compounds these issues, as key players missing time often coincides with games where Memphis is still favored based on outdated roster assessments. Bettors should target Memphis as road favorites specifically, where their young core faces additional pressure in hostile environments and their historical inability to close out games becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as as favorite?
The Memphis Grizzlies have an ATS record of 98-152-0 when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 39.2% of games as favorites.
Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as favorites has not been profitable, with a -25.2% ROI over this 10-year period. This represents significant losses for bettors backing Memphis when they were favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the league average, as teams typically cover around 50% of spreads when favored. The Grizzlies' 39.2% cover rate as favorites ranks among the worst in the NBA during this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.