The data suggests caution when backing the Memphis Grizzlies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Memphis Grizzlies are just 28-33-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record28-33-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size61 games
ROI-12.4%
Units Won-7.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-3-00.0%-4.5%
20152-2-00.0%-4.5%
20166-5-00.0%+4.1%
20174-1-00.0%+52.7%
20181-2-00.0%-36.4%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20211-3-00.0%-52.3%
20221-6-00.0%-72.7%
20234-2-00.0%+27.3%
20243-5-00.0%-28.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Memphis Grizzlies' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a fundamental mismatch between their identity and the betting market's expectations. Memphis has historically been built around grit-and-grind basketball, relying on defensive intensity and home-court energy to fuel their best performances. When they're coming off a defeat and playing away from FedExForum, that defensive edge often lacks the emotional fuel needed to cover spreads against teams that should theoretically be inferior. The psychological component runs deeper than simple momentum. Memphis players have consistently shown they need adversity and crowd energy to reach their peak intensity levels. As road favorites after losses, they're expected to impose their will on presumably weaker opponents, but without the defensive desperation that typically defines their best basketball. The team's offensive limitations become more pronounced in these spots, as they struggle to build comfortable leads that would justify the betting line. Smart bettors should view Memphis road favorites after losses as prime fade candidates, particularly when the spread exceeds four points. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when the Grizzlies' defensive identity is most established but road fatigue begins accumulating.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Memphis Grizzlies's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Memphis Grizzlies have gone 28-33-0 against the spread as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.9% ATS win rate over 61 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Memphis Grizzlies as away favorites after a loss has not been profitable. The strategy shows a -12.4% ROI, meaning bettors would have lost money consistently over this 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below average for NBA teams in similar situations. Most teams struggle as road favorites after losses, but Memphis's 45.9% ATS rate and -12.4% ROI indicates particularly poor value in this spot.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.