The Los Angeles Lakers show mixed results as small underdog (+1 to +3). Since 2014, they're 16-14-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.8%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record16-14-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size30 games
ROI+1.8%
Units Won+0.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-1-00.0%+43.2%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20172-2-00.0%-4.5%
20184-2-00.0%+27.3%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20211-0-00.0%+90.9%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lakers' modest success as small underdogs stems from their unique position as a marquee franchise that rarely finds itself in this role. When Los Angeles enters games catching 1-3 points, it typically signals competitive matchups against quality opponents where public perception may be slightly skewed by recent performance or star player availability. The psychological dynamic works in the Lakers' favor here. This spread range often occurs when they're facing elite teams at home or quality road opponents, situations where their talent level keeps games close despite being technically unfavored. The Lakers' championship pedigree and veteran leadership historically shine in these spots, as players respond well to the slight disrespect implied by catching points. Their recent inconsistency as small dogs reflects the franchise's transitional period, but the underlying value remains sound. The betting public consistently overvalues opponents when facing the Lakers, creating line value in competitive matchups where Los Angeles has legitimate upset potential. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Lakers catch small numbers due to situational factors rather than true talent gaps. This trend matters most during playoff races or nationally televised games where motivation aligns with the subtle line value these spreads typically represent.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Los Angeles Lakers have gone 16-14-0 against the spread (ATS) when favored as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a 53.3% ATS win rate over 30 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Lakers as small underdogs has been profitable with a positive 1.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 16-14 ATS record in this spot indicates they've consistently outperformed expectations when getting 1-3 points.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Lakers' 53.3% ATS win rate as small underdogs is above the typical 50% break-even threshold for spread betting. Their positive 1.8% ROI suggests they perform better than average in this specific underdog role.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.