Los Angeles Lakers Home Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 26-43-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -28.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +28.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2018 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 2-5-1 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2023 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2024 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lakers' struggles as home favorites following losses stem from a dangerous combination of inflated expectations and organizational pressure that has plagued the franchise through multiple eras. When this storied franchise loses a game, the immediate response is often overcompensation rather than systematic adjustment. The weight of playing in Staples Center (now Crypto.com Arena) with championship banners overhead creates an environment where players press too hard to deliver the dominant performance fans and media expect after a setback. This psychological burden manifests tactically as well. Lakers teams historically rely heavily on star power and individual brilliance, but coming off losses, role players often defer excessively while superstars try to do too much. The team's tendency to abandon ball movement and defensive schemes in favor of hero-ball becomes more pronounced when they feel obligated to make a statement at home. Additionally, opposing teams consistently bring their best effort against the Lakers in Los Angeles, knowing the spotlight and potential upset value. Sharp bettors should consider fading the Lakers as home chalk after road losses specifically, when the team faces additional travel fatigue and the pressure to immediately bounce back. This trend carries the most weight when the Lakers are favored by 6+ points following a loss to a quality opponent.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?
The Los Angeles Lakers have a 26-43-1 ATS record when playing as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 37.1% ATS win rate over 70 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as home favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Lakers as home favorites after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -28.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This represents significant losses for bettors who consistently wagered on LA in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the expected 50% ATS rate that would indicate average performance against the spread. The Lakers' 37.1% success rate in this situation suggests they consistently fail to cover when laying points at home following defeats.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.