The public often underestimates the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Los Angeles Lakers hold a record of 31-23-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record31-23-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size54 games
ROI+9.6%
Units Won+5.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-2-00.0%-36.4%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20163-1-00.0%+43.2%
20173-3-00.0%-4.5%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20195-1-00.0%+59.1%
20205-2-00.0%+36.4%
20215-2-00.0%+36.4%
20221-6-00.0%-72.7%
20233-2-00.0%+14.6%
20244-3-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Lakers' strong performance as home underdogs following wins stems from a potent combination of wounded pride and tactical advantages. When Los Angeles enters Staples Center as an underdog despite coming off a victory, it typically signals that oddsmakers are factoring in opponent strength or recent roster changes rather than dismissing the Lakers' capabilities. This creates a psychological edge where a historically proud franchise feels disrespected on their home court. The Lakers' organizational culture thrives on proving doubters wrong, particularly at home where the Hollywood spotlight amplifies every performance. Star players tend to elevate their games when they perceive slights from the betting market, while role players feed off the energy of playing up to competition. The home court advantage becomes magnified when the team feels undervalued, as the crowd rallies behind an underdog narrative that contradicts the franchise's championship expectations. Bettors should target this spot when the Lakers are catching points at home after quality wins against respectable opponents, as it often indicates market overcorrection rather than genuine weakness. This trend carries the most weight during nationally televised games or matchups against elite opponents, when the Lakers' pride factor reaches its peak intensity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Los Angeles Lakers have an ATS record of 31-23-0 when playing as a home underdog after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.4% ATS win rate over 54 games.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Lakers as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 9.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, their actual win rate in these games is 0.0%, meaning they consistently lose but often cover the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 57.4% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The Lakers have shown exceptional value as home underdogs following wins, making them a profitable contrarian bet.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.