Los Angeles Lakers Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 119-122-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-12-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2015 | 7-12-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
| 2016 | 10-7-0 | 0.0% | +12.3% |
| 2017 | 12-9-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2019 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2020 | 13-14-0 | 0.0% | -8.1% |
| 2021 | 10-8-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2022 | 11-15-2 | 0.0% | -19.2% |
| 2023 | 11-12-0 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2024 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lakers' home performance against the spread reveals a franchise caught between expectation and execution. Playing at Crypto.com Arena (formerly Staples Center) creates unique pressures for a storied organization where championship banners serve as constant reminders of past glory. The Lakers often enter home games as public favorites, inflating lines beyond their true capabilities, particularly during rebuilding phases when talent didn't match reputation. Los Angeles benefits from one of the NBA's most passionate home crowds, but this advantage gets neutralized when facing elite opponents who view beating the Lakers in their building as a statement win. The team's inconsistent roster construction over recent seasons has made them vulnerable to letdown spots at home, especially against lesser opponents where motivation can wane. Road teams often bring extra intensity when visiting the Lakers, knowing the spotlight and potential for an upset. The psychological weight of playing for the Lakers at home creates a double-edged sword where role players either rise to the occasion or crumble under pressure. Sharp bettors should target Lakers home games when they're favored by more than six points against motivated underdogs, as the public consistently overvalues the purple and gold mystique. This trend matters most during nationally televised home games where line inflation reaches its peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as home games?
The Los Angeles Lakers have an ATS record of 119-122-2 in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.4% ATS win rate over 243 total games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as home games profitable?
No, betting on the Lakers at home has not been profitable, showing a -5.7% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Lakers to cover the spread at home.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lakers' 49.4% home ATS win rate is slightly below the typical 50% league average you'd expect if spreads were perfectly efficient. Their -5.7% ROI also underperforms compared to the theoretical break-even point.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.