Los Angeles Lakers As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Lakers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Los Angeles Lakers are just 92-149-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -27.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +27.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-23-0 | 0.0% | -27.8% |
| 2015 | 6-12-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 6-10-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2017 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 6-14-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2019 | 9-12-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2020 | 6-15-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2021 | 4-13-0 | 0.0% | -55.1% |
| 2022 | 14-11-2 | 0.0% | +6.9% |
| 2023 | 10-14-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2024 | 9-13-0 | 0.0% | -21.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Lakers' struggles as favorites stem from a combination of inflated public perception and roster construction challenges that have plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. Los Angeles carries perpetual championship expectations regardless of their actual roster strength, leading oddsmakers to consistently shade lines toward the Lakers to balance public action. This creates artificial value on their opponents, particularly when the Lakers face motivated underdogs who view games against the storied franchise as statement opportunities. The team's star-heavy approach often creates chemistry and depth issues that become magnified in games they're expected to win. Role players frequently defer too much to superstars, leading to predictable offensive sets that disciplined opponents can exploit. Additionally, the Lakers have historically struggled with effort and focus against lesser competition, a psychological trap that afflicts many talent-rich teams who assume they can flip a switch when needed. The franchise's injury history compounds these issues, as key players often carry undisclosed ailments that don't appear on official reports but impact performance against spread numbers. Smart bettors should target Lakers opponents when Los Angeles is favored by 6.5 points or more, especially in back-to-back situations or against teams with strong defensive identities. This trend matters most during the regular season when championship-caliber opponents are scarce and complacency runs highest.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Los Angeles Lakers's ATS record as as favorite?
The Los Angeles Lakers have an ATS record of 92-149-2 when favored from 2014-2024. This represents a poor 38.2% ATS win rate over 243 games.
Is betting on the Los Angeles Lakers as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Lakers as favorites has not been profitable, showing a -27.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This significant negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing LA when favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Lakers' 38.2% ATS win rate as favorites is well below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS performance. Their -27.1% ROI is also significantly worse than break-even betting results.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.