The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Clippers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small favorite (-1 to -3), the Los Angeles Clippers are just 17-23-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -18.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +18.9%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record17-23-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size40 games
ROI-18.9%
Units Won-7.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-3-00.0%-52.3%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20161-3-00.0%-52.3%
20172-2-00.0%-4.5%
20183-2-00.0%+14.6%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-3-00.0%-52.3%
20213-3-00.0%-4.5%
20221-2-00.0%-36.4%
20232-2-00.0%-4.5%
20240-2-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Clippers' struggles as small favorites stem from their historical identity crisis and roster volatility. This franchise has long been caught between championship aspirations and organizational instability, creating a psychological burden that manifests most acutely in games where they're expected to win by narrow margins. When installed as small favorites, the Clippers often face teams that view them as vulnerable despite the betting line, leading to inspired opposition performances. The team's frequent roster overhauls and injury-plagued star players compound this issue. Paul George and Kawhi Leonard's availability concerns have created a culture where the Clippers can never fully establish rhythm or chemistry. In small favorite spots, they're typically facing competitive opponents who smell blood when key players are questionable or when the supporting cast must carry heavier loads. The Clippers also tend to play down to competition in these scenarios, lacking the killer instinct that separates elite franchises from pretenders. Their defensive intensity often wavers against teams they're supposed to handle, while their offensive execution becomes predictable under moderate pressure. Bettors should be particularly wary of backing the Clippers as small favorites when facing divisional opponents or teams fighting for playoff positioning, as these matchups amplify their psychological vulnerabilities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Clippers's ATS record as small favorite (-1 to -3)?

The Los Angeles Clippers have an ATS record of 17-23-0 when favored by 1-3 points from 2014-2024. This translates to a 42.5% cover rate in small favorite situations.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as small favorite (-1 to -3) profitable?

No, betting on the Clippers as small favorites has not been profitable, showing a -18.9% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing LA in these spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below the expected 50% cover rate for ATS betting. The 42.5% cover rate and negative ROI indicate the Clippers have been a poor bet as small favorites compared to typical market expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.