The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Clippers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large favorite (-7.5+), the Los Angeles Clippers are just 33-68-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -37.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +37.6%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record33-68-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size101 games
ROI-37.6%
Units Won-38.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-2-00.0%-4.5%
20152-5-00.0%-45.5%
20163-9-00.0%-52.3%
20175-6-00.0%-13.2%
20184-4-00.0%-4.5%
20195-5-00.0%-4.5%
20203-8-00.0%-47.9%
20211-8-00.0%-78.8%
20221-7-00.0%-76.1%
20234-11-00.0%-49.1%
20243-3-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Clippers' struggles as large favorites stem from their historical identity crisis and roster construction challenges. Unlike traditional powerhouse franchises, the Clippers have rarely possessed the dominant star power or defensive consistency needed to blow out inferior opponents regularly. Their teams have typically featured complementary pieces rather than transcendent talent capable of single-handedly creating massive scoring gaps. The franchise's psychological makeup plays a crucial role in these disappointing performances. The Clippers have long carried the burden of playing second fiddle in Los Angeles, creating a mentality where they've historically played down to competition rather than asserting dominance. When installed as heavy favorites, this manifests as complacency and a lack of killer instinct that championship-caliber teams possess. Their offensive system has often relied on isolation plays and mid-range shooting rather than the systematic ball movement that creates sustainable leads against weaker opponents. This style becomes problematic when facing motivated underdogs who can disrupt rhythm with physical defense and tempo control. Bettors should approach Clippers spreads of 7.5 points or higher with extreme caution, particularly in regular season games where motivation levels can fluctuate. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when the team faces lower-tier opponents they're expected to handle easily.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Clippers's ATS record as large favorite (-7.5+)?

The Los Angeles Clippers have a 33-68-0 ATS record as large favorites (-7.5+) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 32.7% ATS win rate over 101 games.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as large favorite (-7.5+) profitable?

No, betting on the Clippers as large favorites has been unprofitable with a -37.6% ROI. They have failed to cover the spread in 68 of 101 games when favored by 7.5+ points.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as large favorites typically cover around 50% of the time. The Clippers' 32.7% ATS rate as big favorites ranks among the worst in the NBA over this period.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.