The data suggests caution when backing the Los Angeles Clippers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the Los Angeles Clippers are just 47-83-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -31.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +31.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record47-83-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size130 games
ROI-31.0%
Units Won-40.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-5-00.0%-45.5%
20152-8-00.0%-61.8%
20163-15-00.0%-68.2%
20176-5-00.0%+4.1%
20186-10-00.0%-28.4%
20195-5-00.0%-4.5%
20203-5-00.0%-28.4%
20215-7-00.0%-20.4%
20223-7-00.0%-42.7%
20239-11-00.0%-14.1%
20243-5-00.0%-28.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Clippers' struggles as home favorites stem from a franchise-long psychology of underperformance in pressure situations. When installed as chalk at Crypto.com Arena, the team historically battles against elevated expectations that don't align with their actual capabilities. This dynamic creates a perfect storm where the betting public overvalues the Clippers' talent level while the team itself fails to execute with the confidence expected from a favored squad. The franchise's identity has been built around inconsistency and late-game collapses, traits that become magnified when they're expected to control games from the opening tip. Unlike elite home teams that feed off crowd energy and use their venue as a weapon, the Clippers often appear tight and overthink possessions when carrying the burden of favorite status. Their coaching staff has also shown a tendency to make questionable rotations and timeout decisions in crucial moments, particularly when protecting leads that the spread assumes they should maintain. The actionable insight here is clear: fade the Clippers as home favorites, especially in spots where the line seems inflated due to recent strong performances or opponent rest disadvantages. This trend matters most during playoff races and nationally televised games when external pressure peaks and the gap between expectation and execution widens dramatically.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Los Angeles Clippers's ATS record as home favorite?

The Los Angeles Clippers have a 47-83-0 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 36.2% of games. This represents 130 total games where they were favored at home.

Is betting on the Los Angeles Clippers as home favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Clippers as home favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -31.0% ROI over the past decade. This poor performance would result in significant losses for bettors consistently backing them in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the typical league average of around 50% ATS for home favorites. The Clippers' 36.2% cover rate as home favorites ranks among the worst in the NBA during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.