Indiana Pacers One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Indiana Pacers are just 15-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -39.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +39.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2015 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' struggles with one day of rest expose a fundamental issue with their roster construction and conditioning philosophy. Indiana has historically built teams around high-energy, fast-paced systems that rely heavily on younger players who haven't yet mastered the art of managing their bodies through compressed schedules. When forced to play on back-to-back nights or with minimal recovery time, the Pacers consistently fail to maintain their trademark intensity on both ends of the floor. This pattern reflects deeper organizational tendencies around roster depth and game management. Indiana's coaching staff has often leaned heavily on their top six or seven players, creating fatigue issues that compound when rest is limited. The team's defensive schemes, which typically require constant communication and precise rotations, break down noticeably when players are operating on insufficient recovery time. Their offensive execution also suffers, as the ball movement and cutting that defines their system becomes sluggish. The trend becomes most exploitable when the Pacers face well-rested opponents with superior depth, particularly during stretches of their schedule with multiple games in short succession. Bettors should target fading Indiana in these spots, especially when they're road favorites or in close spreads where the market hasn't fully adjusted for their rest disadvantage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as one day rest?
The Indiana Pacers have a 15-32-0 ATS record when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 31.9% ATS win rate over 47 games.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Indiana Pacers with one day rest has not been profitable, showing a -39.1% ROI. This represents significant losses for bettors who consistently backed them in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the league average ATS win rate of approximately 50%. The Pacers' 31.9% ATS rate in this spot makes them one of the worst teams to bet on with one day of rest.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.