The public often underestimates the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Indiana Pacers hold a record of 78-46-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $25 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record78-46-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size125 games
ROI+20.1%
Units Won+24.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-4-10.0%+27.3%
20156-5-00.0%+4.1%
20163-6-00.0%-36.4%
20178-3-00.0%+38.8%
20189-3-00.0%+43.2%
20197-7-00.0%-4.5%
20209-2-00.0%+56.2%
20215-3-00.0%+19.3%
20222-4-00.0%-36.4%
20238-3-00.0%+38.8%
202413-6-00.0%+30.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pacers' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a fundamentally sound, well-coached franchise that thrives when expectations are lowered. Indiana has consistently built teams around defensive principles and unselfish basketball, creating a system that can neutralize more talented opponents through execution and effort. When playing at home with underdog status, the Pacers benefit from both crowd energy and the psychological advantage of being overlooked, allowing them to play loose while their opponents often struggle with the pressure of being favored. Gainbridge Fieldhouse provides a legitimate home-court advantage, particularly against marquee opponents who may underestimate Indiana's cohesion and preparation. The franchise's culture emphasizes team basketball over individual stardom, which becomes especially potent when facing star-heavy teams that rely on isolation plays. Rick Carlisle's coaching acumen has historically maximized these situations, implementing game plans that exploit overconfident favorites. Bettors should target Pacers home underdog spots against teams on lengthy road trips or those coming off emotional victories, as these scenarios amplify Indiana's systematic advantages. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when playoff-bound teams may coast against perceived lesser competition, creating optimal value opportunities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as home underdog?

The Indiana Pacers have an ATS record of 78-46-1 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 62.4% ATS win rate over 125 games.

Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Indiana Pacers as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 20.1% ROI. Despite a 0.0% straight-up win rate, their strong ATS performance makes them a profitable betting option.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 62.4% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for home underdogs. The Pacers have been one of the most reliable home underdog bets over this 10-year span.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.