Indiana Pacers Away Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Indiana Pacers are just 13-38-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -51.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +51.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-8-0 | 0.0% | -78.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a fundamental organizational characteristic that has persisted across different rosters and coaching staffs. Indiana has historically been built around defensive identity and methodical offensive execution, qualities that require emotional equilibrium and collective focus to function effectively. When coming off defeats, particularly on the road where they lack home crowd energy, the Pacers often compound their problems by pressing too hard to prove themselves worthy of favorite status. This psychological burden manifests tactically through rushed offensive possessions and defensive lapses that contradict their system-based approach. Road environments amplify these issues, as the Pacers have traditionally relied on their home crowd's energy to maintain defensive intensity. Without that support, and carrying the weight of recent failure, they frequently fall into the trap of playing individual basketball rather than their characteristic team-first style. The betting market consistently overvalues Indiana's talent level in these spots, failing to account for how poorly this franchise handles the mental aspect of bouncing back in hostile environments. Sharp bettors should target opponents when the Pacers fit this profile, especially against teams with strong home court advantages or those capable of dictating tempo early. This trend matters most when Indiana faces Western Conference opponents or teams with elite offensive systems that can exploit their predictable desperation.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?
The Indiana Pacers have a 13-38-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 25.5% ATS win rate over 51 games.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as away favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Indiana Pacers as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. This trend shows a -51.3% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as teams typically cover around 50% ATS. The Pacers' 25.5% ATS rate in this situation is well below standard expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.