Indiana Pacers Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Indiana Pacers are just 33-70-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -38.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +38.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2015 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 4-9-0 | 0.0% | -41.3% |
| 2018 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2019 | 5-6-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2020 | 2-8-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2021 | 3-5-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2022 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2023 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2024 | 1-9-0 | 0.0% | -80.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' struggles as road favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their playing style and the psychological demands of being favored away from home. Indiana has historically been built around pace, transition offense, and creating energy through crowd engagement. When playing on the road as favorites, they lose that home court energy boost while facing opponents who naturally elevate their intensity against a "better" team visiting their building. Indiana's young core often lacks the veteran leadership needed to handle the pressure of being expected to win in hostile environments. The team tends to play loose and aggressive when they're underdogs, but when oddsmakers label them favorites on the road, they frequently tighten up and abandon the free-flowing style that makes them effective. Their defensive inconsistencies become magnified when opponents are motivated by the disrespect of being home underdogs. The franchise's recent rebuild phases have also meant they're often road favorites against truly inferior teams, creating dangerous letdown spots where motivation becomes questionable. Bettors should particularly avoid backing Indiana as road favorites when they're coming off emotional home wins or facing teams with strong home court advantages. This trend matters most when the Pacers are small road favorites (1-4 points) against teams with recent home success.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as away favorite?
The Indiana Pacers have a 33-70-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 33 of 103 games. This translates to a 32.0% ATS win rate in this situation.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Indiana Pacers as away favorites is not profitable, with a -38.8% ROI over the past decade. This poor performance makes them one of the worst bets in this specific situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads over time. The Pacers' 32.0% ATS rate as away favorites is well below this standard benchmark.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.