Indiana Pacers After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Indiana Pacers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Indiana Pacers are just 97-100-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-13-0 | 0.0% | -21.9% |
| 2015 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2016 | 3-8-0 | 0.0% | -47.9% |
| 2017 | 4-11-0 | 0.0% | -49.1% |
| 2018 | 11-7-0 | 0.0% | +16.7% |
| 2019 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2020 | 10-8-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2021 | 20-8-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2022 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2023 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2024 | 14-10-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pacers' mediocre performance after wins reflects a franchise caught between competing identities over the past decade. Indiana has consistently operated as a developmental organization, cycling through young cores while maintaining playoff aspirations. This creates a psychological dynamic where players and coaches struggle to maintain intensity after positive results, particularly against teams they're expected to beat. The franchise's emphasis on player development often means rotations and roles shift frequently, disrupting the chemistry needed to build momentum from victories. Unlike established contenders who use wins as stepping stones, the Pacers have historically treated individual victories as validation rather than progress markers. This mentality becomes particularly pronounced when facing teams with similar records, where the motivation to prove superiority diminishes after already securing a statement win. Indiana's coaching changes and roster turnover compound this issue, as new systems rarely emphasize the mental discipline required for consistent ATS performance. The team's tendency to play down to competition after quality victories has become an organizational pattern that transcends individual personnel. This trend carries the most weight when the Pacers are coming off upset victories against superior opponents or division rivals, especially in back-to-back situations where physical and mental fatigue amplify their natural letdown tendencies.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Indiana Pacers's ATS record as after a win?
The Indiana Pacers have gone 97-100-0 against the spread (ATS) after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.2% ATS win rate over 197 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Indiana Pacers as after a win profitable?
No, betting on the Indiana Pacers after a win has not been profitable, showing a -6.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Pacers in this spot.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pacers' 49.2% ATS win rate after wins is slightly below the typical 50% break-even point expected in sports betting. Their -6.0% ROI suggests they've consistently failed to cover spreads that may have been inflated due to recent success.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.