The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as two days rest, the Houston Rockets are just 19-20-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record19-20-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size39 games
ROI-7.0%
Units Won-2.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-1-00.0%+43.2%
20150-3-00.0%-100.0%
20163-2-00.0%+14.6%
20171-2-00.0%-36.4%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20194-4-00.0%-4.5%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20223-1-00.0%+43.2%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockets' struggles with two days rest appear to stem from their historically fast-paced, high-energy playing style that thrives on rhythm and momentum rather than extended preparation time. Houston's offensive system, particularly during their peak years under Mike D'Antoni, relied heavily on quick decision-making and instinctive play rather than elaborate set pieces that benefit from extra practice time. When given extended rest, the team often looked out of sync early in games, struggling to find their shooting touch from beyond the arc where they've built their identity. The psychological component cannot be overlooked either. Houston has consistently been a team that performs better when they can maintain their aggressive, attacking mindset. Extended breaks tend to cool off their shooters and disrupt the confidence-based system that drives their three-point heavy offense. The team's veteran leadership has historically preferred staying in game rhythm rather than having time to overthink matchups or strategies. For bettors, this trend suggests value in fading Houston when they're coming off extended rest, particularly in road games where they can't rely on home crowd energy to jumpstart their rhythm. This pattern matters most early in the season when teams are still finding their identity and during playoff pushes when every possession counts.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as two days rest?

The Houston Rockets have an ATS record of 19-20-0 when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.7% ATS win rate across 39 games.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Houston Rockets with two days rest has not been profitable, showing a -7.0% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Their 19-20 ATS record indicates they've failed to cover the spread more often than not.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rockets' 48.7% ATS win rate with two days rest is slightly below the typical 50% league average expected for ATS performance. Their -7.0% ROI suggests underperformance compared to break-even betting expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.