The public often underestimates the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Houston Rockets hold a record of 143-84-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $46 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record143-84-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size227 games
ROI+20.3%
Units Won+46.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201412-5-00.0%+34.8%
201512-8-00.0%+14.6%
201614-8-00.0%+21.5%
201714-10-00.0%+11.4%
20188-8-00.0%-4.5%
201913-11-00.0%+3.4%
202013-6-00.0%+30.6%
20218-8-00.0%-4.5%
202219-6-00.0%+45.1%
202312-8-00.0%+14.6%
202418-6-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockets' exceptional primetime underdog performance stems from their organizational identity as a team that thrives when expectations are lowest. Houston has historically embraced an analytically-driven, high-variance style that can catch opponents off-guard in nationally televised spots. When playing as underdogs under the bright lights, the Rockets benefit from reduced pressure and heightened focus, allowing their young core to play freely without the weight of favorite status. Their recent coaching philosophy emphasizes pace and three-point volume, creating explosive offensive potential that can quickly swing games regardless of talent disparities. Primetime underdogs often face teams coming off emotional wins or looking ahead, while Houston enters these spots with nothing to lose and everything to prove. The franchise's culture of player development also means their younger talents often step up in marquee moments, catching oddsmakers and opponents unprepared for breakout performances. The psychological edge of playing spoiler on national television cannot be understated. Teams naturally elevate their intensity when the spotlight is brightest, and Houston's roster construction with athletic wings and versatile big men creates matchup problems that become magnified in high-stakes environments. This trend carries the most weight when Houston faces playoff-caliber opponents in nationally televised games during the season's second half, particularly when coming off recent strong performances.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Houston Rockets have a 143-84-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 63.0% ATS win rate over 227 games.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 20.3% ROI. This strong return is driven by their 63% ATS success rate in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rockets' 63% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 20.3% ROI indicates exceptional value in this specific betting scenario.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.