Houston Rockets Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Houston Rockets show mixed results as home favorite on zero rest. Since 2014, they're 6-5-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rockets' mixed performance as home favorites on zero rest reflects the inherent challenges of back-to-back scheduling in the modern NBA, but their slight edge suggests some underlying resilience factors at play. Houston's historically fast-paced offensive system creates an interesting dynamic when fatigue enters the equation - while their legs may tire, their three-point heavy approach requires less physical exertion than teams relying on interior scoring and defensive grinding. The Toyota Center's notoriously loud crowd provides genuine home court advantage that becomes amplified when the team faces adversity from fatigue. Houston players have consistently fed off this energy throughout different roster iterations, from the Harden era through current iterations. The franchise's organizational emphasis on sports science and load management has also helped players maintain performance levels even on shortened rest. What makes this trend particularly noteworthy is how it diverges from typical NBA patterns where home favorites on zero rest often struggle to cover inflated spreads. The Rockets seem to maintain their offensive identity regardless of rest disadvantage, which keeps them competitive against the number. This trend carries the most weight when Houston faces similarly tired opponents or when the spread reflects an overreaction to their rest disadvantage, creating potential value opportunities for sharp bettors.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Houston Rockets have gone 6-5-0 against the spread as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents 11 total games with a 54.5% ATS success rate.
Is betting on the Houston Rockets as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets as home favorites on zero rest has been profitable with a 4.1% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite the modest positive return, the sample size is relatively small at 11 games.
How does this compare to the league average?
Without league average data provided, a direct comparison cannot be made. However, the Rockets' 54.5% ATS rate and 4.1% ROI suggests slightly above-average performance in this specific situation.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.