The public often underestimates the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Houston Rockets hold a record of 75-44-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $24 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record75-44-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size119 games
ROI+20.3%
Units Won+24.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20147-4-00.0%+21.5%
20153-5-00.0%-28.4%
20167-6-00.0%+2.8%
20179-6-00.0%+14.6%
20184-1-00.0%+52.7%
20199-8-00.0%+1.1%
20206-2-00.0%+43.2%
20215-4-00.0%+6.1%
20229-4-00.0%+32.2%
20236-2-00.0%+43.2%
202410-2-00.0%+59.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockets' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their franchise DNA as a defensively aggressive, pace-pushing team that thrives when overlooked. Houston's culture under various coaching regimes has consistently emphasized exploiting opponent complacency, particularly when Vegas suggests they shouldn't win. The Toyota Center becomes a pressure cooker when the Rockets are disrespected, with their typically young, athletic roster feeding off the energy of proving doubters wrong. Houston's strategic advantage emerges from their ability to dictate tempo against favored opponents who often arrive expecting an easier victory. The Rockets excel at forcing turnovers and creating transition opportunities, turning what should be controlled games into chaotic shootouts that favor the hungrier team. Their three-point variance also works in their favor as underdogs - when shots fall at home, they can quickly erase deficits against teams playing conservatively with leads. The psychological edge cannot be understated. Professional athletes respond to disrespect, and home underdog situations provide maximum motivation while removing pressure to perform. Opponents frequently overlook preparation details or rest key players, creating exploitable mismatches. This trend carries most weight when Houston faces playoff-bound teams during the regular season's final months, as contenders often coast while the Rockets fight for positioning or pride.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as home underdog?

The Houston Rockets have a 75-44-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 63.0% of games. This represents strong performance against the betting line in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Houston Rockets as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 20.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This indicates consistent value when the Rockets are getting points at home.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rockets' 63.0% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for ATS betting. Their 20.3% ROI demonstrates exceptional profitability in this betting scenario.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.