Houston Rockets Favorite After 3+ Game Losing Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Houston Rockets are just 68-151-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -40.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +40.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-10-0 | 0.0% | -21.4% |
| 2015 | 5-13-0 | 0.0% | -47.0% |
| 2016 | 7-13-0 | 0.0% | -33.2% |
| 2017 | 7-13-0 | 0.0% | -33.2% |
| 2018 | 7-19-0 | 0.0% | -48.6% |
| 2019 | 10-8-0 | 0.0% | +6.1% |
| 2020 | 3-12-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2021 | 6-20-0 | 0.0% | -55.9% |
| 2022 | 6-20-0 | 0.0% | -55.9% |
| 2023 | 6-13-0 | 0.0% | -39.7% |
| 2024 | 4-10-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rockets' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks reflect deep-seated organizational and psychological issues that have plagued the franchise across multiple eras. When Houston enters these spots, they're typically dealing with compounding problems beyond just poor performance – often involving chemistry breakdowns, defensive lapses, and the pressure of being expected to bounce back against inferior competition. Houston's modern identity has been built around high-variance offensive systems, from the Moreyball era through their current rebuild. This approach creates feast-or-famine scenarios where the team can look dominant or completely lost depending on shot-making variance. When coming off multiple losses, the psychological weight of needing to perform as favorites often amplifies their tendency toward poor shot selection and defensive breakdowns, particularly in close games where composure matters most. The franchise's institutional challenges become magnified in these pressure situations. Whether dealing with star player departures, coaching changes, or roster turnover, the Rockets have consistently shown an inability to handle the mental side of being favored when confidence is already shaken. This trend carries the most betting value when Houston is laying points at home against teams with winning records, where the psychological pressure peaks and their systemic weaknesses become most exploitable.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?
The Houston Rockets have an ATS record of 68-151-0 (31.1%) when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents 219 total games over the 10-year period.
Is betting on the Houston Rockets as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?
No, betting on the Houston Rockets as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable, showing a -40.7% ROI. This indicates significant losses for bettors backing Houston in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the typical 50% ATS expectation, making it one of the worst situational trends in sports betting. The 31.1% ATS rate suggests the betting market consistently overvalues Houston as favorites following extended losing streaks.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.