The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Houston Rockets are just 23-39-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -29.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +29.2%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record23-39-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size62 games
ROI-29.2%
Units Won-18.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20151-5-00.0%-68.2%
20163-2-00.0%+14.6%
20174-2-00.0%+27.3%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20195-1-00.0%+59.1%
20202-4-00.0%-36.4%
20211-5-00.0%-68.2%
20221-6-00.0%-72.7%
20232-5-00.0%-45.5%
20240-5-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockets' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a combination of psychological fragility and organizational instability that has plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. When Houston loses a game and then faces the pressure of being favored away from home, they consistently fail to respond with the mental toughness required to cover spreads. This pattern reflects deeper issues with leadership and accountability that have persisted through multiple coaching changes and roster overhauls. The franchise's volatility becomes magnified in these specific situations because road favorites must overcome both the inherent difficulty of winning away from home and the added pressure of market expectations. Houston's young core has repeatedly shown an inability to handle this dual burden, often playing tight and making critical errors in late-game situations. The team's defensive inconsistencies, which have been a hallmark throughout various rebuilding phases, become particularly pronounced when they're expected to dominate inferior opponents on the road. Bettors should strongly consider fading Houston in these spots, as the psychological pattern appears deeply ingrained regardless of roster composition or coaching staff. This trend carries the most weight when the Rockets are coming off emotional losses or facing teams with strong home court advantages.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Houston Rockets have a 23-39-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 37.1% ATS win rate over 62 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Houston Rockets as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. The team has a 0.0% win rate in this situation with a -29.2% ROI, indicating consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. The Rockets' 37.1% ATS rate and negative ROI suggest they consistently struggle to meet expectations in this specific scenario.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.