The data suggests caution when backing the Houston Rockets in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive losses, the Houston Rockets are just 213-235-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record213-235-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size448 games
ROI-9.2%
Units Won-41.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201420-14-00.0%+12.3%
201517-21-00.0%-14.6%
201621-21-00.0%-4.5%
201721-23-00.0%-8.9%
201815-27-00.0%-31.8%
201923-20-00.0%+2.1%
202016-18-00.0%-10.2%
202115-28-00.0%-33.4%
202225-26-00.0%-6.4%
202318-21-00.0%-11.9%
202422-16-00.0%+10.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rockets' struggles after consecutive losses stem from a fundamental organizational instability that has plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. Houston's roster construction has consistently favored offensive firepower over defensive consistency, creating a team that relies heavily on rhythm and confidence. When that rhythm breaks through back-to-back defeats, the psychological impact cascades through their offensive system, leading to forced shots and defensive breakdowns that compound their problems. The franchise's coaching turnover and constant roster reshuffling since their championship contention years has prevented the development of strong leadership and accountability structures. Without veteran voices to steady the ship during adversity, younger players tend to press and deviate from game plans when facing pressure to end losing streaks. This manifests in poor shot selection and defensive lapses that consistently fail to cover spreads. Houston's home-heavy schedule clustering often means these bounce-back spots come against quality opponents who can exploit their fragile mental state. The team's offensive system requires precise execution and ball movement, but frustration from consecutive losses typically leads to isolation plays and contested shots that play directly into opponents' hands. This trend carries the most weight when Houston faces playoff-caliber teams at home following road losses, where public perception inflates their line value despite their proven inability to respond under pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Houston Rockets's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive losses?

The Houston Rockets have an ATS record of 213-235-0 (47.5%) when playing after 2+ consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This means they have failed to cover the spread in 235 of 448 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Houston Rockets as after 2+ consecutive losses profitable?

No, betting on the Houston Rockets after 2+ consecutive losses is not profitable, with a -9.2% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. The team's 47.5% ATS win rate in this situation falls well below the break-even point needed for profitability.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below league average, as teams typically need to cover at least 52.4% of spreads to be profitable after accounting for standard betting juice. The Rockets' 47.5% ATS rate in this spot represents underperformance compared to expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.