The Golden State Warriors show mixed results as on a 3+ game win streak. Since 2014, they're 235-209-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.0%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record235-209-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size444 games
ROI+1.0%
Units Won+4.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201427-21-00.0%+7.4%
201518-18-00.0%-4.5%
201615-21-00.0%-20.4%
201714-18-00.0%-16.5%
201822-21-00.0%-2.3%
201931-13-00.0%+34.5%
202027-26-00.0%-2.7%
202120-12-00.0%+19.3%
202226-19-00.0%+10.3%
202318-23-00.0%-16.2%
202417-17-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Warriors' modest success against the spread during extended winning streaks reflects the inherent challenges of maintaining peak performance in a league designed for parity. Golden State's championship-caliber roster often creates inflated public expectations during hot streaks, leading oddsmakers to set lines that account for both their talent and the betting public's tendency to overvalue momentum. The team's reliance on three-point shooting creates natural variance – even during winning runs, their offensive efficiency can fluctuate dramatically from game to game, making consistent cover rates difficult to achieve. Golden State's veteran core, particularly during their championship years, demonstrated a tendency to coast through regular season games once they established comfortable leads, often failing to cover larger spreads despite securing victories. Their fast-paced, high-scoring style also makes them susceptible to backdoor covers by opponents who can exploit garbage time situations when the Warriors ease off defensively. The psychological factor of complacency becomes pronounced during extended success, as Steve Kerr has historically rested key players or reduced minutes for stars when games appear decided. Smart bettors should exercise caution backing Golden State during prolonged winning streaks, particularly in games where they're favored by double digits against motivated underdogs. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when playoff positioning is secure and the Warriors prioritize health over margin of victory.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Golden State Warriors's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?

The Golden State Warriors have gone 235-209-0 against the spread when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 52.9% ATS win rate over 444 games during winning streaks.

Is betting on the Golden State Warriors as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?

Yes, betting on the Warriors during 3+ game win streaks has been slightly profitable with a 1.0% ROI. While the edge is minimal, it shows consistent value over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Warriors' 52.9% ATS rate during win streaks is above the typical 50% baseline expected in sports betting. This suggests they perform better against the spread than average when momentum is on their side.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.